Saturday, 18 July 2020

Weekend 18.–20. July: FA Cup semifinals

TOTAL SCORE 7W – 5L

Recap: This midweek was not my proudest moment with me predicting only Leicester correctly. I still was on the right path with the two other games, but in the end chose the wrong bets for them. Atalanta butchered Brescia 6-1 and somehow let in the one goal and Man City was clearly saving their best for this weekend’s FA Cup game.

We are edging closer and closer to the end of the season with FA Cup semifinals this week as well as the penultimate round in the premier league. I will also have a look at some Championship games, where the fight for a promotion to the premier league is tight.

From all the games this weekend I chose five games to make up my bet. Starting off Stoke-Brentford from the championship. Brentford has been on fire since the restart and have won all their games and are one point away from the second place which would give them straight promotion. Stoke on the other hand are almost certainly out of the relegation race and they have less to fight for, so picking Brentford to win is a good choice with the 1,58 odds.

Second, I am going to the Saturday’s FA Cup with my Arsenal playing Man City. Arsenal did manage to pull out a miracle and beat Liverpool midweek and I was lucky to leave that game out of my bets as I did not believe in it. City also played a very sluggish game against Bournemouth where they actually should have lost, but they managed to hold out for the win. Still I believe Man City was just saving it for this game as their best player and the best midfielder in the world, Kevin De Bruyne, did not play in that game. So, they were saving him for today. City is also pure kryptonite for Arsenal having won handily all of the league meetings in the past few seasons, so I am picking Man City to win.

Next, I am picking Atalanta from Serie A again. This time I will just put them to win, as their stellar form is going to carry them through Verona, who are in the midtable and have really nothing left to play for.

In the second semifinal of the FA Cup we have Manchester United playing against Chelsea. This could be a spectacular game as Man U are in great form and Chelsea seem to play well against the other top teams. I still see Man U as the clear favorite. Their midfield is in sparkling form with Pogba and Fernandez dominating and at the same time Chelsea is missing their best player in Kanté, and this will be where the game is decided for me. Just to be sure, I am taking Man United to go through to final, including extra time and possible penalties, with the rather nice odds of 1,80.

I am adding the game from Monday between Sheffield and Everton to the list. Sheffield is in great home form and still fighting for European places, where as Everton seems to be in vacation mode already, so with the tasty odds of 2,15 for Sheffield I am definitely adding this to the betting card.

Match
Bet
Odds
Stoke City - Brentford
2
1,58
Arsenal - Manchester City
2
1,32
Hellas Verona - Atalanta
2
1,40
Manchester United - Chelsea
Man U to go through
1,80
Sheffield United - Everton
1
2,15
TOTAL

11,30
Odds are from Unibet on Saturday 18.7.

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