Tuesday, 21 July 2020

Midweek 21.–22. July: Redemption day?

TOTAL SCORE 7W – 10L

Recap: … Well what can I say. Got all wrong over the weekend. That happens, I was very surprised by all the games we had bets on. Perhaps I have overestimated the importance of having something to play for, or even underestimated the pressure that it brings with it. For the FA Cup games I have no words. I was sure Arsenal had used all their energy against Liverpool, but no, they came up with a masterful win at Wembley against Man City. For the other game, I have no idea what Man United coach was thinking, as they played 5 at the back probably for the first time and starting Fred over Pogba. I mean, what the hell can I say, but they handed the game to Chelsea on a silver platter, and they were happy to eat that cake.

For my redemption I am going back to my usual teams with Atalanta. They are still one of the hottest teams in Europe and they enjoy scoring, especially at home. Atalanta for the win and a good bunch of goals seems like a good bet to get our line started.

Every time I struggle to put Arsenal in these lines, but they are the team I know best and there weren’t too many other inspiring games available. With the heroics of beating City and Liverpool out of the way, I believe Arsenal, especially the Arsenal defense, will return to normalcy and that includes a couple of individual errors. Arsenal are still my favourites to win the game, but I dare not to put money on that. So, with Arsenal’s attack working properly they score a couple, but Aston Villa’s efficiency and the amount of Arsenal’s defensive errors will determine the final score.

The spicy pick for this line is Chelsea to win or draw against Liverpool. My reasoning is that Chelsea play really well against big teams and Lampard is a good player manager, which is important in these games. Second reason is that Liverpool have looked sluggish after winning the league and they are mostly just playing for fun at this point, until they get to lift the trophy on Sunday.

Match
Bet
Odds
Atalanta - Bologna
Atalanta win & over 2,5 goals
1,56
Aston Villa - Arsenal
BTTS Yes
1,63
Liverpool - Chelsea
X2
1,84
TOTAL

4,68
Odds are from Unibet on Monday 21.7.

For a JOKER I wanted to highlight the odds for Watford who are against Man City. To many this game seems like a bloodbath with City walking over Watford, but I sense a possible surprise in this game. Watford quite surprisingly sacked their coach with two games left to play and I believe that is going to give them a little kick in the butt. On top of this, City is just not the same City we are used to. They were very weak against Bournemouth and didn’t do much against Arsenal, so I think they could be surprised here.

JOKER
Match
Bet
Odds
Watford - Manchester City
1
8,50
Odds are from Unibet on Monday 21.7.

1 comment:

  1. Ei oo nyt oikein osunut. Eläkerahat kohta männööt. Sole poika ku 5 vuotta töitä lisää.

    ReplyDelete